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Yichun Grand Tiger vs Jiangxi Liansheng Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 11:30

Yichun Grand Tiger

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Jiangxi Liansheng

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.9%0-117.1%0-28.2%0-32.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.7%1-113.1%1-26.2%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.2%2-15.0%2-22.4%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.3%3-11.3%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.4% — — —

Draw 32.1% — — —

Away win 35.4% — — —

Over 2.5 37.3% — — —

Over 3.5 18.6% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 27.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 45%

ROI -19.8%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.6%

D 32% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.9%

#2 0–1 17.1%

#3 1–1 13.1%

#4 1–0 13.7%

#5 0–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yichun Grand Tiger0.8

Jiangxi Liansheng1.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

YICHUN GRAND TIGER · PPG 1.00

JIANGXI LIANSHENG · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.19, combined xG 1.72 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Yichun Grand Tiger (H) 32.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jiangxi Liansheng (A) 35.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Yichun Grand Tiger face Jiangxi Liansheng in China - League Two on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yichun Grand Tiger a 32% chance, the draw 32% and Jiangxi Liansheng 35%, so Jiangxi Liansheng are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Yichun Grand Tiger and 1.0 for Jiangxi Liansheng (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yichun Grand Tiger are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.14 for Jiangxi Liansheng.

Yichun Grand Tiger vs Jiangxi Liansheng Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - League Two Predictions