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Patriotas vs Internacional Palmira Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Clausura - 1 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 21:00

Patriotas

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Internacional Palmira

PPG 2.18 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.7%0-116.7%0-210.1%0-34.1%0-4+1.6%1 1-010.6%1-112.9%1-27.8%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-04.1%2-15.0%2-23.0%2-31.2%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.1%3-11.3%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.4% — — —

Draw 30.1% — — —

Away win 40.6% — — —

Over 2.5 39.3% — — —

Over 3.5 20.6% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 25%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.5%

A 41% / xG 0.8-1.2 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.7%

#2 1–1 12.9%

#3 0–1 16.7%

#4 0–2 10.1%

#5 1–0 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Patriotas0.8

Internacional Palmira1.2

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PATRIOTAS · PPG 2.00

INTERNACIONAL PALMIRA · PPG 2.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.44, combined xG 1.99 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Patriotas (H) 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Internacional Palmira (A) 40.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Patriotas face Internacional Palmira in Colombia - Primera B on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Patriotas a 29% chance, the draw 30% and Internacional Palmira 41%, so Internacional Palmira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Patriotas and 1.2 for Internacional Palmira (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Patriotas are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.18 for Internacional Palmira.

Patriotas vs Internacional Palmira Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Match Preview & Prediction

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