Today / Poland - Ekstraklasa / GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom

GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom Prediction— Poland - Ekstraklasa

Regular Season - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 18:15

GKS Katowice

PPG 1.79 · HOME

UPCOMING

Radomiak Radom

PPG 1.02 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-14.7%0-23.2%0-31.4%0-4+0.7%1 1-06.9%1-19.4%1-26.4%1-32.9%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.9%2-19.4%2-26.4%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-04.7%3-16.3%3-24.3%3-32.0%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-15.1%4+-23.5%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.0% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 25.8% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 40.6% — — —

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 53.6% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -7.1%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob62.1%

H 52% / xG 2.0-1.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 1–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GKS Katowice2.0

Radomiak Radom1.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GKS KATOWICE · PPG 1.79

RADOMIAK RADOM · PPG 1.02

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.65 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

GKS Katowice (H) 52.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Radomiak Radom (A) 25.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

GKS Katowice face Radomiak Radom in Poland - Ekstraklasa on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GKS Katowice a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Radomiak Radom 26%, so GKS Katowice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for GKS Katowice and 1.4 for Radomiak Radom (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GKS Katowice are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 1.02 for Radomiak Radom.

GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom Prediction— Poland - Ekstraklasa

Match Preview & Prediction

More Poland - Ekstraklasa Predictions