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Buenos Aires City vs Everton La Plata Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Regular Season - 10 ·Thursday, July 30, 2026, 17:00

Buenos Aires City

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Everton La Plata

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.1%0-110.8%0-23.1%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.8%1-111.8%1-23.3%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.3%2-16.4%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.1%3-12.3%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% — — —

Draw 30.8% — — —

Away win 23.2% — — —

Over 2.5 33.6% — — —

Over 3.5 17.1% — — —

BTTS 45.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 100%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.4%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.1%

#2 1–0 20.8%

#3 1–1 11.8%

#4 2–0 11.3%

#5 0–1 10.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Buenos Aires City1.1

Everton La Plata0.6

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 17.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BUENOS AIRES CITY · PPG 1.50

EVERTON LA PLATA · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.52 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Buenos Aires City (H) 46.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Everton La Plata (A) 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Buenos Aires City face Everton La Plata in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Thursday, July 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Buenos Aires City a 46% chance, the draw 31% and Everton La Plata 23%, so Buenos Aires City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Buenos Aires City and 0.6 for Everton La Plata (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Buenos Aires City are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.75 for Everton La Plata.

Buenos Aires City vs Everton La Plata Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Match Preview & Prediction

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