Vizela vs Farense Prediction— Portugal - Segunda Liga

Portugal - Segunda Liga Regular Season - 30 Estádio Do Vizela· Caldas de Vizela Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

Vizela PPG 1.57

0-2 MISS

Farense PPG 1.21

Home· +11.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Vizela face Farense in Portugal - Segunda Liga on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vizela a 56% chance, the draw 26% and Farense 18%, so Vizela are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Vizela and 0.7 for Farense (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vizela are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.21 for Farense. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +11.6%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 55.8%

Odds: 2.00 EV: +11.6%

Draw 26.4%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -14.2%

Away 17.9%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -36.5%

Model lean: Home

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 37.6% Odds: 2.05 -22.9%

Over 3.5 18.0% Odds: 3.65 -34.3%

BTTS 39.3% Odds: 1.80 -29.3%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Vizela

1.48

Farense

0.71

Model SuggestionHome +11.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 45%

BTTS/No 38%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -45.7%

Bet Hit 30% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away AVERAGE (1.21)