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Andijan vs Buxoro Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Regular Season - 14 ·Monday, July 27, 2026, 15:00

Andijan

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Buxoro

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.30, combined xG 2.44 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.7%0-19.3%0-25.0%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.9%1-112.8%1-26.9%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.2%2-18.7%2-24.7%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.7%3-14.0%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.8%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.8% — — —

Draw 26.5% — — —

Away win 27.7% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 54.3% — — —

Home O1.5 38.5% — — —

Away O1.5 36.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 13.3%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.3%

H 46% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.7%

#3 1–0 11.9%

#4 2–1 8.7%

#5 2–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Andijan1.4

Buxoro1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ANDIJAN · PPG 1.50

BUXORO · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.30, combined xG 2.44 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Andijan (H) 45.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Buxoro (A) 27.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Andijan face Buxoro in Uzbekistan - Super League on Monday, July 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Andijan a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Buxoro 28%, so Andijan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Andijan and 1.1 for Buxoro (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Andijan are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.17 for Buxoro.

Andijan vs Buxoro Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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