Pachuca vs Pumas UNAM Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21

Mexico - Liga MX U21 Clausura - 17 Saturday, April 25, 2026 15:15

Pachuca PPG 2.50

3-0 MISS

Pumas UNAM PPG 2.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Pachuca face Pumas UNAM in Mexico - Liga MX U21 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pachuca a 48% chance, the draw 24% and Pumas UNAM 28%, so Pachuca are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Pachuca and 1.2 for Pumas UNAM (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pachuca are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 2.14 for Pumas UNAM. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 24.1%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 28.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.5% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 33.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 57.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Pachuca

1.67

Pumas UNAM

1.23

Model SuggestionBTTS  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.50) > Away EXCELLENT (2.14)