Today / Slovakia - Super Liga / Zemplín Michalovce vs Žilina

Zemplín Michalovce vs Žilina Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Regular Season - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 15:00

Zemplín Michalovce

PPG 1.46 · HOME

UPCOMING

Žilina

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-15.3%0-25.2%0-33.4%0-4+2.6%1 1-04.5%1-18.8%1-28.6%1-35.6%1-4+4.3%2 2-03.7%2-17.2%2-27.1%2-34.6%2-4+3.5%3 3-02.0%3-14.0%3-23.9%3-32.5%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.4%4+-22.3%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 41.6% — — —

Over 2.5 66.9% — — —

Over 3.5 44.8% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 50.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 22.4%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob63.5%

A 42% / xG 1.6-2.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 1–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zemplín Michalovce1.6

Žilina2.0

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.9% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ZEMPLÍN MICHALOVCE · PPG 1.46

ŽILINA · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Zemplín Michalovce (H) 36.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Žilina (A) 41.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zemplín Michalovce face Žilina in Slovakia - Super Liga on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zemplín Michalovce a 36% chance, the draw 22% and Žilina 42%, so Žilina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Zemplín Michalovce and 2.0 for Žilina (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zemplín Michalovce are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 1.42 for Žilina.

Zemplín Michalovce vs Žilina Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Slovakia - Super Liga Predictions