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Komárno vs Spartak Trnava Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Regular Season - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 17:00

Komárno

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Spartak Trnava

PPG 1.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.03, combined xG 2.35 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-111.3%0-26.7%0-32.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-011.0%1-113.2%1-27.8%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.4%2-17.6%2-24.6%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.5%3-13.0%3-21.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.7% — — —

Draw 27.4% — — —

Away win 34.9% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 22.4%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.6%

A 35% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 9.5%

#3 0–1 11.3%

#4 1–0 11.0%

#5 1–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Komárno1.2

Spartak Trnava1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KOMÁRNO · PPG 1.17

SPARTAK TRNAVA · PPG 1.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.03, combined xG 2.35 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Komárno (H) 37.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Spartak Trnava (A) 34.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Komárno face Spartak Trnava in Slovakia - Super Liga on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Komárno a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Spartak Trnava 35%, so Komárno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Komárno and 1.2 for Spartak Trnava (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Komárno are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.54 for Spartak Trnava.

Komárno vs Spartak Trnava Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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