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Baranovichi vs T. Zhodino Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, July 11, 2026, 13:00

Baranovichi

PPG 0.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

T. Zhodino

PPG 2.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs Home POOR (0.83)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-19.4%0-211.1%0-38.8%0-4+9.0%1 1-03.4%1-18.1%1-29.6%1-37.5%1-4+7.8%2 2-01.5%2-13.5%2-24.1%2-33.2%2-4+3.4%3 3-00.4%3-11.0%3-21.2%3-30.9%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.8% — — —

Draw 21.5% — — —

Away win 65.7% — — —

Over 2.5 61.3% — — —

Over 3.5 38.5% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 68.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 0%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob52.6%

A 66% / xG 0.9-2.4 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.1%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 1–1 8.1%

#4 0–3 8.8%

#5 0–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baranovichi0.9

T. Zhodino2.4

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 38.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BARANOVICHI · PPG 0.83

T. ZHODINO · PPG 2.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs Home POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Baranovichi (H) 12.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

T. Zhodino (A) 65.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Baranovichi face T. Zhodino in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Saturday, July 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baranovichi a 13% chance, the draw 22% and T. Zhodino 66%, so T. Zhodino are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Baranovichi and 2.4 for T. Zhodino (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baranovichi are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 2.20 for T. Zhodino.

Baranovichi vs T. Zhodino Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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