Today / Estonia - Meistriliiga / Kalju Nomme vs Tammeka

Kalju Nomme vs Tammeka Prediction— Estonia - Meistriliiga

Regular Season - 21 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 14:00

Kalju Nomme

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tammeka

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 55.7% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-15.5%0-22.0%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-013.9%1-110.2%1-23.8%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.9%2-19.5%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.0%3-15.9%3-22.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.6%4+-14.1%4+-21.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.7% 69.4% 1.44 -19.8%

Draw 22.6% 23.8% 4.20 -3.0%

Away win 21.7% 16.7% 6.00 +18.1%

Over 2.5 53.4% 64.5% 1.55 -17.2%

Over 3.5 32.1% 42.0% 2.38 -23.6%

BTTS 52.6% 60.6% 1.65 -13.2%

Home O1.5 53.6% 69.4% 1.44 -22.8%

Away O1.5 20.3% 29.4% 3.40 -18.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 9.7%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob52.6%

H 56% / xG 1.9-0.7 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.9%

#2 1–0 13.9%

#3 1–1 10.2%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 0–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kalju Nomme1.9

Tammeka0.7

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KALJU NOMME · PPG 1.50

TAMMEKA · PPG 1.25

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.12 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kalju Nomme (H) 55.7%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -19.8%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -3.0%

Tammeka (A) 21.7%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +18.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kalju Nomme face Tammeka in Estonia - Meistriliiga on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kalju Nomme a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Tammeka 22%, so Kalju Nomme are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Kalju Nomme and 0.7 for Tammeka (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kalju Nomme are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.25 for Tammeka. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +9.7%.

Kalju Nomme vs Tammeka Prediction— Estonia - Meistriliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Estonia - Meistriliiga Predictions