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Real Acerrana vs Pompei Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone H

Group H - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Real Acerrana

PPG 0.80 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

Pompei

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.4%0-113.9%0-24.5%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-019.0%1-112.4%1-24.0%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.5%2-15.5%2-21.8%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.5%3-11.6%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.1% — — —

Draw 35.7% — — —

Away win 25.2% — — —

Over 2.5 20.2% — — —

Over 3.5 7.1% — — —

BTTS 28.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 31.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob28.2%

H 39% / xG 0.9-0.7 / U2.5 20% / NoBTTS 28%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.4%

#2 1–0 19.0%

#3 0–1 13.9%

#4 1–1 12.4%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Real Acerrana0.9

Pompei0.7

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 20.2% · O3.5 PROB 7.1%

Form & verdict PPG

REAL ACERRANA · PPG 0.80

POMPEI · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.80), Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Real Acerrana (H) 39.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pompei (A) 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Acerrana face Pompei in Italy - Serie D - Girone H on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Acerrana a 39% chance, the draw 36% and Pompei 25%, so Real Acerrana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Real Acerrana and 0.7 for Pompei (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 20% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 28% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Acerrana are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 0.80 for Pompei. This match finished 1-3.

Real Acerrana vs Pompei Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone H

Match Preview & Prediction

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