← Back to picks 
Nardo PPG 2.07 
Manfredonia PPG 0.67
Nardo vs Manfredonia Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone H
Nardo PPG 2.072-0 HIT CS2
Manfredonia PPG 0.67 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Nardo face Manfredonia in Italy - Serie D - Girone H on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nardo a 71% chance, the draw 20% and Manfredonia 9%, so Nardo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Nardo and 0.5 for Manfredonia (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nardo are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 0.67 for Manfredonia. This match finished 2-0.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 44.3% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 23.2% Odds: — —
BTTS 35.0% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✔
3rd 3-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Nardo 1.92
Manfredonia 0.53
Model Suggestion
Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 27 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 59%
Score Hit 41%
ROI 31.4%
Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
STRONG_HOME 66%
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.07), Away POOR (0.67) - Strong consensus