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Gravina PPG 1.73 
Paganese PPG 1.80
Gravina vs Paganese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone H
Gravina PPG 1.731-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Paganese PPG 1.80 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Gravina face Paganese in Italy - Serie D - Girone H on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gravina a 48% chance, the draw 29% and Paganese 23%, so Gravina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Gravina and 0.8 for Paganese (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gravina are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.80 for Paganese. This match finished 1-0.
Match Result (1X2)
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 35.1% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 16.2% Odds: — —
BTTS 40.2% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✔
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 0-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Gravina 1.30
Paganese 0.81
Model Suggestion
No Bet MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 27 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 59%
Score Hit 41%
ROI 31.4%
Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
BALANCED 42%
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.73), Away GOOD (1.80)