Olbia vs Trastevere Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Italy - Serie D - Girone G Group G - 32 Bruno Nespoli· Olbia Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

Olbia PPG 1.00

3-2 MISS

Trastevere PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Olbia face Trastevere in Italy - Serie D - Girone G on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olbia a 22% chance, the draw 21% and Trastevere 57%, so Trastevere are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Olbia and 2.0 for Trastevere (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olbia are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.67 for Trastevere. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 21.5%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 21.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 57.1%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.3% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 39.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 59.3% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Olbia

1.16

Trastevere

2.01

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)