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Vancouver FC vs Atlético Ottawa Prediction— Canada - Premier League

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 22:00

Vancouver FC

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atlético Ottawa

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.68 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-16.9%0-23.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-011.5%1-111.5%1-25.8%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.7%2-19.7%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.4%3-15.4%3-22.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-13.3%4+-21.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.9% — — —

Draw 24.5% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 29.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 39%

ROI 46.0%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.4%

H 52% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–0 11.5%

#3 2–0 9.7%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vancouver FC1.7

Atlético Ottawa1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VANCOUVER FC · PPG 1.62

ATLÉTICO OTTAWA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.68 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Vancouver FC (H) 51.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Atlético Ottawa (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vancouver FC face Atlético Ottawa in Canada - Premier League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vancouver FC a 52% chance, the draw 25% and Atlético Ottawa 24%, so Vancouver FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Vancouver FC and 1.0 for Atlético Ottawa (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vancouver FC are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.00 for Atlético Ottawa.

Vancouver FC vs Atlético Ottawa Prediction— Canada - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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