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Vancouver FC vs Cavalry FC Prediction— Canada - Premier League

Group Stage ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 02:00

Vancouver FC

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cavalry FC

PPG 2.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-117.2%0-211.6%0-35.2%0-4+2.4%1 1-09.0%1-112.2%1-28.3%1-33.7%1-4+1.7%2 2-03.2%2-14.4%2-22.9%2-31.3%2-4+0.6%3 3-00.8%3-11.0%3-20.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.6% — — —

Draw 28.2% — — —

Away win 48.2% — — —

Over 2.5 46.8% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 41.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 11.1%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob48.5%

A 48% / xG 0.7-1.4 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 17.2%

#2 0–0 12.7%

#3 1–1 12.2%

#4 0–2 11.6%

#5 1–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vancouver FC0.7

Cavalry FC1.4

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VANCOUVER FC · PPG 1.43

CAVALRY FC · PPG 2.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.64 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Vancouver FC (H) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cavalry FC (A) 48.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vancouver FC face Cavalry FC in Canada - Premier League on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vancouver FC a 24% chance, the draw 28% and Cavalry FC 48%, so Cavalry FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Vancouver FC and 1.4 for Cavalry FC (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vancouver FC are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 2.29 for Cavalry FC.

Vancouver FC vs Cavalry FC Prediction— Canada - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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