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Pacific FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction— Canada - Premier League

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 02:00

Pacific FC

PPG 0.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Supra du Quebec

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-15.3%0-25.6%0-33.9%0-4+3.3%1 1-04.0%1-18.4%1-28.8%1-36.2%1-4+5.3%2 2-03.1%2-16.6%2-26.9%2-34.8%2-4+4.1%3 3-01.6%3-13.5%3-23.6%3-32.5%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.9%4+-22.0%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.6% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 44.1% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.8% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 47.9% — — —

Away O1.5 54.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 39%

ROI 46.0%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob63.5%

A 44% / xG 1.6-2.1 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.4%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 2–1 6.6%

#5 1–3 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pacific FC1.6

Supra du Quebec2.1

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

PACIFIC FC · PPG 0.14

SUPRA DU QUEBEC · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.53 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Pacific FC (H) 33.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Supra du Quebec (A) 44.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pacific FC face Supra du Quebec in Canada - Premier League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pacific FC a 34% chance, the draw 22% and Supra du Quebec 44%, so Supra du Quebec are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Pacific FC and 2.1 for Supra du Quebec (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pacific FC are averaging 0.14 points per game versus 1.17 for Supra du Quebec.

Pacific FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction— Canada - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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