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Ind. Juniors vs Cuniburo Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Matchday 18 ·Thursday, July 23, 2026, 20:30

Ind. Juniors

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WDDDW

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Cuniburo

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDDWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.6%0-19.4%0-22.8%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.6%1-111.8%1-23.6%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.3%2-17.4%2-22.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.1%3-13.1%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.2% 45.5% 2.20 +10.4%

Draw 29.4% 35.7% 2.80 -10.6%

Away win 20.4% 30.3% 3.30 -19.6%

Over 2.5 39.3% 42.0% 2.38 -6.5%

Over 3.5 19.7% 22.7% 4.40 -8.0%

BTTS 46.5% 50.0% 2.00 -7.0%

Home O1.5 38.0% 40.3% 2.48 -5.8%

Away O1.5 19.1% 29.2% 3.42 -20.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 61%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.5%

H 50% / xG 1.3-0.6 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 19.6%

#2 0–0 15.6%

#3 1–1 11.8%

#4 2–0✓ 12.3%

#5 0–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ind. Juniors1.3

Cuniburo0.6

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.7%

Form & verdict PPG

IND. JUNIORS · PPG 2.00

CUNIBURO · PPG 1.12

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

50%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.65 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Ind. Juniors (H) 50.2%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +10.4%

Draw 29.4%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -10.6%

Cuniburo (A) 20.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -19.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ind. Juniors face Cuniburo in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Thursday, July 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ind. Juniors a 50% chance, the draw 29% and Cuniburo 20%, so Ind. Juniors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ind. Juniors and 0.6 for Cuniburo (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ind. Juniors are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.12 for Cuniburo. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +12.2%. This match finished 2-0.

Ind. Juniors vs Cuniburo Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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