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Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs Atletico FC Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Regular Season - 18 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 21:30

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors

PPG 2.12 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atletico FC

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-19.4%0-24.0%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.1%1-112.7%1-25.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.2%2-18.6%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.6%3-13.8%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.7% — — —

Draw 26.7% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 46.8% — — —

Over 3.5 26.0% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 38.5% — — —

Away O1.5 20.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.5%

H 50% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 1–0 15.1%

#3 0–0 11.2%

#4 2–0 10.2%

#5 2–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors1.3

Atletico FC0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO CUENCA JUNIORS · PPG 2.12

ATLETICO FC · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.51 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors (H) 49.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Atletico FC (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors face Atletico FC in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Cuenca Juniors a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Atletico FC 24%, so Deportivo Cuenca Juniors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Deportivo Cuenca Juniors and 0.8 for Atletico FC (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 1.33 for Atletico FC.

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs Atletico FC Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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