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Anzio vs Scafatese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Group G - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Anzio

PPG 1.13 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Scafatese

PPG 2.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.53) vs Home AVERAGE (1.13)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-114.4%0-214.8%0-310.1%0-4+8.3%1 1-04.3%1-18.7%1-28.9%1-36.1%1-4+5.0%2 2-01.3%2-12.6%2-22.7%2-31.8%2-4+1.5%3 3-00.3%3-10.5%3-20.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 9.9% — — —

Draw 18.9% — — —

Away win 71.3% — — —

Over 2.5 49.5% — — —

Over 3.5 27.6% — — —

BTTS 39.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob39.6%

A 71% / xG 0.6-2.0 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 14.8%

#2 0–1✓ 14.4%

#3 0–3 10.1%

#4 1–2 8.9%

#5 1–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Anzio0.6

Scafatese2.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ANZIO · PPG 1.13

SCAFATESE · PPG 2.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.53) vs Home AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Anzio (H) 9.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Scafatese (A) 71.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Anzio face Scafatese in Italy - Serie D - Girone G on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Anzio a 10% chance, the draw 19% and Scafatese 71%, so Scafatese are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Anzio and 2.0 for Scafatese (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Anzio are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 2.53 for Scafatese. This match finished 0-1.

Anzio vs Scafatese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Match Preview & Prediction

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