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Juventud de Bernal vs Defensores Glew Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Regular Season - 8 ·Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 16:00

Juventud de Bernal

PPG 0.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Defensores Glew

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -2.01 for Away, form 0.00 vs 0.67

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-111.4%0-214.6%0-312.4%0-4+14.7%1 1-02.5%1-16.3%1-28.1%1-36.9%1-4+8.1%2 2-00.7%2-11.7%2-22.2%2-31.9%2-4+2.3%3 3-00.1%3-10.3%3-20.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.3% — — —

Draw 17.4% — — —

Away win 69.3% — — —

Over 2.5 60.7% — — —

Over 3.5 37.5% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 67.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 100%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob48.5%

A 69% / xG 0.6-2.6 / O2.5 61% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 14.6%

#2 0–3 12.4%

#3 0–1 11.4%

#4 1–2 8.1%

#5 0–4 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventud de Bernal0.6

Defensores Glew2.6

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUD DE BERNAL · PPG 0.00

DEFENSORES GLEW · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.01 for Away, form 0.00 vs 0.67

Win probability 1X2

Juventud de Bernal (H) 13.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Defensores Glew (A) 69.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventud de Bernal face Defensores Glew in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Tuesday, July 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventud de Bernal a 13% chance, the draw 17% and Defensores Glew 69%, so Defensores Glew are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Juventud de Bernal and 2.6 for Defensores Glew (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventud de Bernal are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 0.67 for Defensores Glew.

Juventud de Bernal vs Defensores Glew Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Match Preview & Prediction

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