San Marino C. vs Teramo Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone F

Italy - Serie D - Girone F Group F - 32 Stadio Giorgio Calbi· Cattolica Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

San Marino C. PPG 1.07

1-3 MISS

Teramo PPG 2.27

Away· +35.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

San Marino C. face Teramo in Italy - Serie D - Girone F on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Marino C. a 9% chance, the draw 16% and Teramo 76%, so Teramo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for San Marino C. and 2.4 for Teramo (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Marino C. are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 2.27 for Teramo. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +35.9%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 8.7%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -64.3%

Draw 15.8%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -51.0%

Away 75.5%

Odds: 1.80 EV: +35.9%

Model lean: Away

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 2.00 +18.6%

Over 3.5 37.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 44.8% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 0-3 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

San Marino C.

0.68

Teramo

2.40

Model SuggestionAway +35.9% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.27) vs Home AVERAGE (1.07)