Chieti vs Giulianova Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone F

Italy - Serie D - Girone F Group F - 32 Stadio Guido Angelini· Chieti Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

Chieti PPG 1.20

1-0 HIT CS4

Giulianova PPG 1.07

Away· -1.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Chieti face Giulianova in Italy - Serie D - Girone F on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chieti a 23% chance, the draw 31% and Giulianova 47%, so Giulianova are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Chieti and 1.2 for Giulianova (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chieti are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.07 for Giulianova. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 22.7%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -27.4%

Draw 30.5%

Odds: 2.95 EV: -10.0%

Away 46.8%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -1.7%

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 30.0% Odds: 2.10 -37.0%

Over 3.5 12.8% Odds: — —

BTTS 35.9% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✔

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Chieti

0.73

Giulianova

1.19

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 30%

Score Hit 44%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.07)