Ancona 1905 vs Sammaurese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone F

Match Preview & Prediction

Ancona 1905 face Sammaurese in Italy - Serie D - Girone F on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ancona 1905 a 94% chance, the draw 5% and Sammaurese 1%, so Ancona 1905 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.9 for Ancona 1905 and 0.4 for Sammaurese (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ancona 1905 are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 0.36 for Sammaurese. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +30.1%. This match finished 3-0.