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Talleres Remedios vs Ituzaingó Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:00

Talleres Remedios

PPG 1.85 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ituzaingó

PPG 0.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 68.0% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-14.0%0-20.8%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-018.5%1-17.7%1-21.6%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.8%2-17.4%2-21.6%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-011.4%3-14.8%3-21.0%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-08.5%4+-13.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.0% 69.0% 1.45 -1.4%

Draw 23.0% 27.0% 3.70 -8.9%

Away win 9.0% 14.3% 7.00 -22.2%

Over 2.5 45.7% 45.5% 2.20 +0.5%

Over 3.5 28.2% 23.8% 4.20 +11.1%

BTTS 44.5% 43.5% 2.30 +2.4%

Home O1.5 53.6% 56.5% 1.77 -5.1%

Away O1.5 11.1% 16.7% 6.00 -20.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 107 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 65%

ROI 25.9%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob44.5%

H 68% / xG 1.9-0.4 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 17.8%

#2 1–0 18.5%

#3 3–0 11.4%

#4 0–0 9.6%

#5 1–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Talleres Remedios1.9

Ituzaingó0.4

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.2%

Form & verdict PPG

TALLERES REMEDIOS · PPG 1.85

ITUZAINGÓ · PPG 0.15

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.51 for Home, form 1.85 vs 0.15 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Talleres Remedios (H) 68.0%

ODDS 1.45 · IMPLIED 69.0% EV -1.4%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -8.9%

Ituzaingó (A) 9.0%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV -22.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Talleres Remedios face Ituzaingó in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Talleres Remedios a 68% chance, the draw 23% and Ituzaingó 9%, so Talleres Remedios are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Talleres Remedios and 0.4 for Ituzaingó (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Talleres Remedios are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 0.15 for Ituzaingó. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +15.5%.

Talleres Remedios vs Ituzaingó Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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