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Deportivo Laferrere vs Talleres Remedios Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 27 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 18:00

Deportivo Laferrere logo
Deportivo Laferrere
PPG 1.46 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Talleres Remedios logo
Talleres Remedios
PPG 1.92 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.7%0-118.2%0-210.5%0-34.1%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.9%1-112.6%1-27.3%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-03.8%2-14.4%2-22.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.4%3 3-00.9%3-11.0%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.4% 35.7% 2.80 -14.0%
Draw 30.0% 34.5% 2.90 -13.0%
Away win 42.6% 40.0% 2.50 +6.5%
Over 2.5 39.3% 37.0% 2.70 +6.1%
Over 3.5 20.0% 18.2% 5.50 +6.0%
BTTS 48.5% 47.6% 2.10 +1.8%
Home O1.5 33.3% 30.8% 3.25 +8.2%
Away O1.5 36.4% 33.3% 3.00 +9.2%

League track record

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5 69%
BTTS 66%
Score Hit 63%
ROI 21.9%
Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.5%

A 43% / xG 0.7-1.2 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.7%
#2 0–1 18.2%
#3 1–1 12.6%
#4 0–2 10.5%
#5 1–0 10.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Laferrere0.7
Talleres Remedios1.2

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 20.0%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO LAFERRERE · PPG 1.46

TALLERES REMEDIOS · PPG 1.92

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected
65%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.46, combined xG 1.85 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Laferrere (H) 27.4%
ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -14.0%
Draw 30.0%
ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -13.0%
Talleres Remedios (A) 42.6%
ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +6.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Laferrere face Talleres Remedios in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Laferrere a 27% chance, the draw 30% and Talleres Remedios 43%, so Talleres Remedios are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Deportivo Laferrere and 1.2 for Talleres Remedios (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Laferrere are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 1.92 for Talleres Remedios. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +9.2%.

PredictVantage

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