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Liniers vs Comunicaciones Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:00

Liniers

PPG 1.08 · HOME

UPCOMING

Comunicaciones

PPG 1.46 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.0%0-116.1%0-28.1%0-32.7%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.2%1-113.3%1-26.7%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-05.5%2-15.5%2-22.8%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.5%3-11.5%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.4% 39.2% 2.55 -17.4%

Draw 32.1% 33.9% 2.95 -5.3%

Away win 35.4% 37.0% 2.70 -4.4%

Over 2.5 37.3% 38.5% 2.60 -3.0%

Over 3.5 20.8% 18.2% 5.50 +8.6%

BTTS 48.7% 47.6% 2.10 +2.3%

Home O1.5 32.6% 33.9% 2.95 -3.8%

Away O1.5 30.0% 32.3% 3.10 -7.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 107 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 65%

ROI 25.9%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.7%

D 32% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.0%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1 16.1%

#4 1–0 13.2%

#5 0–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Liniers0.8

Comunicaciones1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 20.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LINIERS · PPG 1.08

COMUNICACIONES · PPG 1.46

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.18, combined xG 1.83 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Liniers (H) 32.4%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -17.4%

Draw 32.1%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -5.3%

Comunicaciones (A) 35.4%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -4.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Liniers face Comunicaciones in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Liniers a 32% chance, the draw 32% and Comunicaciones 35%, so Comunicaciones are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Liniers and 1.0 for Comunicaciones (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Liniers are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 1.46 for Comunicaciones. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +13.1%.

Liniers vs Comunicaciones Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Predictions