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Dock Sud vs Liniers Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 27 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 16:00

Dock Sud

PPG 1.54 · HOME

UPCOMING

Liniers

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.3%0-110.4%0-23.1%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.0%1-112.0%1-23.6%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.5%2-16.9%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.4%3-12.7%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.0%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.7% 48.8% 2.05 -0.2%

Draw 31.4% 32.3% 3.10 -2.7%

Away win 19.9% 29.0% 3.45 -18.8%

Over 2.5 39.3% 40.8% 2.45 -3.7%

Over 3.5 18.5% 22.2% 4.50 -10.1%

BTTS 46.4% 48.8% 2.05 -4.9%

Home O1.5 35.0% 41.7% 2.40 -16.0%

Away O1.5 19.1% 27.8% 3.60 -18.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.4%

H 49% / xG 1.2-0.6 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.3%

#2 1–0 20.0%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 2–0 11.5%

#5 0–1 10.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dock Sud1.2

Liniers0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DOCK SUD · PPG 1.54

LINIERS · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.56 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dock Sud (H) 48.7%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -0.2%

Draw 31.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -2.7%

Liniers (A) 19.9%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -18.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dock Sud face Liniers in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dock Sud a 49% chance, the draw 31% and Liniers 20%, so Dock Sud are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Dock Sud and 0.6 for Liniers (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dock Sud are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.00 for Liniers. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +11.2%.

Dock Sud vs Liniers Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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