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Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Camioneros Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:00

Sportivo Italiano

PPG 1.54 · HOME

UPCOMING

Deportivo Camioneros

PPG 1.85 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.2%0-117.9%0-28.3%0-32.6%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.8%1-112.9%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-05.0%2-14.6%2-22.2%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.2%3-11.1%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.0% 38.5% 2.60 -19.4%

Draw 32.8% 35.1% 2.85 -6.5%

Away win 36.2% 36.4% 2.75 -0.4%

Over 2.5 33.6% 35.1% 2.85 -4.2%

Over 3.5 17.1% 18.2% 5.50 -3.6%

BTTS 45.4% 45.5% 2.20 -0.1%

Home O1.5 32.6% 31.3% 3.20 +4.3%

Away O1.5 26.5% 29.9% 3.35 -6.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 107 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 65%

ROI 25.9%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob45.4%

D 33% / xG 0.7-0.9 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.2%

#2 0–1 17.9%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 1–0 13.8%

#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sportivo Italiano0.7

Deportivo Camioneros0.9

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 17.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORTIVO ITALIANO · PPG 1.54

DEPORTIVO CAMIONEROS · PPG 1.85

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.21, combined xG 1.65 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sportivo Italiano (H) 31.0%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -19.4%

Draw 32.8%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -6.5%

Deportivo Camioneros (A) 36.2%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -0.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sportivo Italiano face Deportivo Camioneros in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sportivo Italiano a 31% chance, the draw 33% and Deportivo Camioneros 36%, so Deportivo Camioneros are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Sportivo Italiano and 0.9 for Deportivo Camioneros (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sportivo Italiano are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.85 for Deportivo Camioneros. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +4.3%.

Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Camioneros Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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