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Academia Cantolao vs Cesar Vallejo Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 15:45

Academia Cantolao

PPG 0.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cesar Vallejo

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.29, combined xG 2.33 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-19.9%0-25.1%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.7%1-113.0%1-26.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.3%2-18.5%2-24.4%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.6%3-13.7%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.6%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.4% — — —

Draw 27.2% — — —

Away win 29.4% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 32.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 86%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.6%

H 43% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.7%

#3 1–0 12.7%

#4 2–1 8.5%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Academia Cantolao1.3

Cesar Vallejo1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ACADEMIA CANTOLAO · PPG 0.80

CESAR VALLEJO · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.29, combined xG 2.33 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Academia Cantolao (H) 43.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cesar Vallejo (A) 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Academia Cantolao face Cesar Vallejo in Peru - Segunda División on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Academia Cantolao a 43% chance, the draw 27% and Cesar Vallejo 29%, so Academia Cantolao are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Academia Cantolao and 1.0 for Cesar Vallejo (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Academia Cantolao are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 0.25 for Cesar Vallejo.

Academia Cantolao vs Cesar Vallejo Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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