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Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Molinos El Pirata Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Regular Season - 11 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 20:30

Deportiva Agropecuaria

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Molinos El Pirata

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.9%0-113.5%0-26.6%0-32.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.9%1-113.5%1-26.6%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-06.9%2-16.8%2-23.3%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.3%3-12.3%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.4% — — —

Draw 32.0% — — —

Away win 30.5% — — —

Over 2.5 42.6% — — —

Over 3.5 22.7% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 29.2% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.5%

D 32% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.9%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 1–0 13.9%

#4 0–1 13.5%

#5 2–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportiva Agropecuaria1.0

Molinos El Pirata1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.6% · O3.5 PROB 22.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVA AGROPECUARIA · PPG 1.00

MOLINOS EL PIRATA · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.03, combined xG 1.98 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportiva Agropecuaria (H) 37.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Molinos El Pirata (A) 30.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportiva Agropecuaria face Molinos El Pirata in Peru - Segunda División on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportiva Agropecuaria a 37% chance, the draw 32% and Molinos El Pirata 31%, so Deportiva Agropecuaria are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Deportiva Agropecuaria and 1.0 for Molinos El Pirata (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportiva Agropecuaria are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.33 for Molinos El Pirata.

Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Molinos El Pirata Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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