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Alianza Universidad vs Sport Huancayo 2 Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Regular Season - 12 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 20:00

Alianza Universidad

PPG 1.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sport Huancayo 2

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.72 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.5%0-18.5%0-22.9%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.5%1-111.9%1-24.0%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.3%2-18.3%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.7%3-13.9%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-11.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.5% — — —

Draw 26.2% — — —

Away win 21.3% — — —

Over 2.5 45.7% — — —

Over 3.5 26.0% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 44.6% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 86%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.7%

H 52% / xG 1.4-0.7 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.5%

#2 0–0 12.5%

#3 1–1 11.9%

#4 2–0 12.3%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Alianza Universidad1.4

Sport Huancayo 20.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ALIANZA UNIVERSIDAD · PPG 1.20

SPORT HUANCAYO 2 · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.72 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Alianza Universidad (H) 52.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sport Huancayo 2 (A) 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Alianza Universidad face Sport Huancayo 2 in Peru - Segunda División on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Alianza Universidad a 53% chance, the draw 26% and Sport Huancayo 2 21%, so Alianza Universidad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Alianza Universidad and 0.7 for Sport Huancayo 2 (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Alianza Universidad are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.75 for Sport Huancayo 2.

Alianza Universidad vs Sport Huancayo 2 Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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