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Minas vs Estudiantil CNI Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Regular Season - 11 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 18:00

Minas

PPG 0.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Estudiantil CNI

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-028.0%0-116.1%0-24.6%0-30.9%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.5%1-111.2%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-06.8%2-13.9%2-21.1%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.6%3-10.9%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.2% — — —

Draw 32.7% — — —

Away win 24.1% — — —

Over 2.5 33.3% — — —

Over 3.5 13.4% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.4%

H 43% / xG 0.7-0.6 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 28.0%

#2 1–0 19.5%

#3 0–1 16.1%

#4 1–1 11.2%

#5 2–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Minas0.7

Estudiantil CNI0.6

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.3% · O3.5 PROB 13.4%

Form & verdict PPG

MINAS · PPG 0.75

ESTUDIANTIL CNI · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.12, combined xG 1.27 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Minas (H) 43.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Estudiantil CNI (A) 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Minas face Estudiantil CNI in Peru - Segunda División on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Minas a 43% chance, the draw 33% and Estudiantil CNI 24%, so Minas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Minas and 0.6 for Estudiantil CNI (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Minas are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.50 for Estudiantil CNI.

Minas vs Estudiantil CNI Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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