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Deportivo Binacional vs Bentín Tacna Heroica Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Regular Season - 11 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 18:15

Deportivo Binacional

PPG 0.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bentín Tacna Heroica

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-114.3%0-28.7%0-33.5%0-4+1.4%1 1-010.9%1-113.2%1-28.0%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-05.1%2-16.1%2-23.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.6%3-11.9%3-21.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.7% — — —

Draw 29.5% — — —

Away win 38.8% — — —

Over 2.5 46.8% — — —

Over 3.5 26.1% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.9% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.5%

D 30% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 11.8%

#3 0–1 14.3%

#4 1–0 10.9%

#5 0–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Binacional0.9

Bentín Tacna Heroica1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO BINACIONAL · PPG 0.50

BENTÍN TACNA HEROICA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.29, combined xG 2.14 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Binacional (H) 31.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bentín Tacna Heroica (A) 38.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Binacional face Bentín Tacna Heroica in Peru - Segunda División on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Binacional a 32% chance, the draw 30% and Bentín Tacna Heroica 39%, so Bentín Tacna Heroica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Deportivo Binacional and 1.2 for Bentín Tacna Heroica (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Binacional are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Bentín Tacna Heroica.

Deportivo Binacional vs Bentín Tacna Heroica Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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