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Ayacucho FC vs Santos Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Regular Season - 11 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 16:00

Ayacucho FC

PPG 0.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Santos

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-111.8%0-25.7%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.9%1-113.4%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.9%2-17.6%2-23.7%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.0%3-12.9%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.1% — — —

Draw 29.3% — — —

Away win 27.6% — — —

Over 2.5 43.6% — — —

Over 3.5 23.0% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 29.2% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.5%

H 43% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 12.3%

#3 1–0 13.9%

#4 0–1 11.8%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ayacucho FC1.1

Santos1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AYACUCHO FC · PPG 0.50

SANTOS · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.17, combined xG 2.10 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ayacucho FC (H) 43.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Santos (A) 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ayacucho FC face Santos in Peru - Segunda División on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ayacucho FC a 43% chance, the draw 29% and Santos 28%, so Ayacucho FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Ayacucho FC and 1.0 for Santos (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ayacucho FC are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Santos.

Ayacucho FC vs Santos Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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