Today / Italy - Serie D - Girone E / T. Traiana vs Camaiore Calcio

T. Traiana vs Camaiore Calcio Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone E

Group E - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

T. Traiana

PPG 1.73 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Camaiore Calcio

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.2%0-18.3%0-22.6%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.4%1-111.6%1-23.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.8%2-18.1%2-22.6%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.0%3-13.8%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-11.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.5% — — —

Draw 27.6% — — —

Away win 16.9% — — —

Over 2.5 33.1% — — —

Over 3.5 14.8% — — —

BTTS 35.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob35.3%

H 56% / xG 1.4-0.6 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 35%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.4%

#2 0–0 13.2%

#3 2–0 12.8%

#4 1–1 11.6%

#5 0–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

T. Traiana1.4

Camaiore Calcio0.6

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.1% · O3.5 PROB 14.8%

Form & verdict PPG

T. TRAIANA · PPG 1.73

CAMAIORE CALCIO · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

T. Traiana (H) 55.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Camaiore Calcio (A) 16.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

T. Traiana face Camaiore Calcio in Italy - Serie D - Girone E on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Traiana a 56% chance, the draw 28% and Camaiore Calcio 17%, so T. Traiana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for T. Traiana and 0.6 for Camaiore Calcio (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Traiana are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.13 for Camaiore Calcio. This match finished 2-1.

T. Traiana vs Camaiore Calcio Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone E

Match Preview & Prediction

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