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Strommen vs ODD Ballklubb Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Regular Season - 15 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 15:00

Strommen

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

ODD Ballklubb

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-16.9%0-26.9%0-34.7%0-4+3.7%1 1-04.7%1-19.4%1-29.4%1-36.3%1-4+5.0%2 2-03.2%2-16.4%2-26.4%2-34.3%2-4+3.4%3 3-01.4%3-12.9%3-22.9%3-32.0%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.3%4+-21.3%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.3% 34.5% 2.90 -6.3%

Draw 22.2% 26.3% 3.80 -9.4%

Away win 45.5% 48.8% 2.05 -6.7%

Over 2.5 63.8% 67.6% 1.48 -5.6%

Over 3.5 42.1% 45.5% 2.20 -7.4%

BTTS 63.9% 70.4% 1.42 -9.3%

Home O1.5 38.5% 47.6% 2.10 -19.1%

Away O1.5 49.0% 58.8% 1.70 -16.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 25%

ROI 5.8%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob63.9%

A 46% / xG 1.4-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–2 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 2–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Strommen1.4

ODD Ballklubb2.0

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 42.1%

Form & verdict PPG

STROMMEN · PPG 1.00

ODD BALLKLUBB · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.65 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Strommen (H) 32.3%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -6.3%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -9.4%

ODD Ballklubb (A) 45.5%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -6.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Strommen face ODD Ballklubb in Norway - 1st Division on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Strommen a 32% chance, the draw 22% and ODD Ballklubb 46%, so ODD Ballklubb are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Strommen and 2.0 for ODD Ballklubb (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Strommen are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.67 for ODD Ballklubb. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +4.0%.

Strommen vs ODD Ballklubb Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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