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Haugesund vs Bryne Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 18:00

Haugesund

PPG 2.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bryne

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 77.3% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+8.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-11.7%0-20.8%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.2%1-15.2%1-22.6%1-30.9%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.1%2-18.0%2-24.0%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.3%3-18.2%3-24.1%3-31.4%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-013.7%4+-113.6%4+-26.8%4+-32.3%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.0% 61.7% 1.62 +8.5%

Draw 17.2% 23.8% 4.20 -16.7%

Away win 15.7% 24.4% 4.10 -21.4%

Over 2.5 67.0% 73.5% 1.36 -8.9%

Over 3.5 49.6% 51.8% 1.93 -4.3%

BTTS 62.5% 72.5% 1.38 -13.8%

Home O1.5 77.3% 71.4% 1.40 +8.2%

Away O1.5 29.7% 43.5% 2.30 -19.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 25%

ROI 5.8%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 77%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob62.5%

H 67% / xG 3.1-1.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.3%

#2 3–1 8.2%

#3 2–0 8.1%

#4 2–1 8.0%

#5 4–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haugesund3.1

Bryne1.0

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 49.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HAUGESUND · PPG 2.67

BRYNE · PPG 0.86

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.08 for Home, form 2.67 vs 0.86 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Haugesund (H) 67.0%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV +8.5%

Draw 17.2%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -16.7%

Bryne (A) 15.7%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -21.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Haugesund face Bryne in Norway - 1st Division on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haugesund a 67% chance, the draw 17% and Bryne 16%, so Haugesund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Haugesund and 1.0 for Bryne (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haugesund are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 0.86 for Bryne. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +21.9%.

Haugesund vs Bryne Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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