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Olmaliq vs Mash'al Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Regular Season - 14 ·Monday, July 27, 2026, 15:00

Olmaliq

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Mash'al

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.33 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-14.7%0-21.5%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.6%1-19.3%1-23.0%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.3%2-19.1%2-22.9%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.4%3-16.0%3-21.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-07.2%4+-14.6%4+-21.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.2% — — —

Draw 20.6% — — —

Away win 17.2% — — —

Over 2.5 53.9% — — —

Over 3.5 32.8% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 55.7% — — —

Away O1.5 19.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 13.3%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.5%

H 62% / xG 2.0-0.6 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.3%

#2 1–0 14.6%

#3 1–1 9.3%

#4 3–0 9.4%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olmaliq2.0

Mash'al0.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

OLMALIQ · PPG 1.50

MASH'AL · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.33 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Olmaliq (H) 62.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mash'al (A) 17.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Olmaliq face Mash'al in Uzbekistan - Super League on Monday, July 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olmaliq a 62% chance, the draw 21% and Mash'al 17%, so Olmaliq are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Olmaliq and 0.6 for Mash'al (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olmaliq are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.00 for Mash'al.

Olmaliq vs Mash'al Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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