Poggibonsi vs Tau Altopascio Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone E

Italy - Serie D - Girone E Group E - 32 Stadio Stefano Lotti· Poggibonsi Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

Poggibonsi PPG 1.00

0-0 HIT CS3

Tau Altopascio PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Poggibonsi face Tau Altopascio in Italy - Serie D - Girone E on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Poggibonsi a 27% chance, the draw 28% and Tau Altopascio 46%, so Tau Altopascio are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Poggibonsi and 1.3 for Tau Altopascio (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Poggibonsi are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.33 for Tau Altopascio. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 26.8%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 27.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 45.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 40.8% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 20.3% Odds: — —

BTTS 45.8% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✔

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Poggibonsi

0.96

Tau Altopascio

1.35

Model SuggestionNo Bet  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.33)