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Olympic vs Skövde AIK Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Södra - 15 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 14:00

Olympic

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Skövde AIK

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-16.3%0-22.9%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.9%1-111.1%1-25.2%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.5%2-19.8%2-24.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.2%3-15.8%3-22.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-13.8%4+-21.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.6% 56.5% 1.77 -3.4%

Draw 23.3% 26.3% 3.80 -6.9%

Away win 22.1% 27.4% 3.65 -11.6%

Over 2.5 53.4% 69.0% 1.45 -22.6%

Over 3.5 32.5% 46.5% 2.15 -30.1%

BTTS 55.4% 70.4% 1.42 -21.3%

Home O1.5 49.4% 64.5% 1.55 -23.4%

Away O1.5 26.7% 43.5% 2.30 -23.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 34%

ROI -2.3%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.4%

H 55% / xG 1.8-0.9 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–0 10.5%

#3 1–0 11.9%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olympic1.8

Skövde AIK0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

OLYMPIC · PPG 1.71

SKÖVDE AIK · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.83 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Olympic (H) 54.6%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -3.4%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -6.9%

Skövde AIK (A) 22.1%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -11.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Olympic face Skövde AIK in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olympic a 55% chance, the draw 23% and Skövde AIK 22%, so Olympic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Olympic and 0.9 for Skövde AIK (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olympic are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.86 for Skövde AIK.

Olympic vs Skövde AIK Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Match Preview & Prediction

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