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Uppsala W vs Norrköping W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 14:00

Uppsala W

PPG 1.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Norrköping W

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.6% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-18.6%0-24.2%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.6%1-112.5%1-26.2%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.2%2-19.1%2-24.5%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.5%3-14.4%3-22.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.2%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 25.0% 4.00 +97.2%

Draw 25.3% 28.6% 3.50 -6.9%

Away win 25.4% 59.9% 1.67 -34.5%

Over 2.5 52.4% 59.9% 1.67 -12.5%

Over 3.5 30.2% 38.2% 2.62 -20.9%

BTTS 53.6% 63.7% 1.57 -15.8%

Home O1.5 45.4% 30.8% 3.25 +47.5%

Away O1.5 28.7% 61.7% 1.62 -32.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.6%

H 49% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 1–0 12.6%

#3 0–0 8.6%

#4 2–0 9.2%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Uppsala W1.5

Norrköping W1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.4% · O3.5 PROB 30.2%

Form & verdict PPG

UPPSALA W · PPG 1.20

NORRKÖPING W · PPG 0.60

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.47, combined xG 2.45 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Uppsala W (H) 49.3%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +97.2%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -6.9%

Norrköping W (A) 25.4%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -34.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Uppsala W face Norrköping W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Uppsala W a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Norrköping W 25%, so Uppsala W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Uppsala W and 1.0 for Norrköping W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Uppsala W are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.60 for Norrköping W. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +61.8%.

Uppsala W vs Norrköping W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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