Today / Italy - Serie D - Girone E / Cannara vs Scandicci

Cannara vs Scandicci Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone E

Group E - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Cannara logo
Cannara
PPG 1.00 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY
Scandicci logo
Scandicci
PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.8%0-118.1%0-211.9%0-35.2%0-4+2.3%1 1-09.2%1-112.1%1-28.0%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-03.1%2-14.0%2-22.7%2-31.2%2-4+0.5%3 3-00.7%3-10.9%3-20.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 18.9%
Draw 28.8%
Away win 52.3%
Over 2.5 31.9%
Over 3.5 14.0%
BTTS 35.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%
O2.5 68%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 58%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob35.6%

A 52% / xG 0.7-1.3 / U2.5 32% / NoBTTS 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 18.1%
#2 0–0 13.8%
#3 1–1 12.1%
#4 0–2 11.9%
#5 1–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cannara0.7
Scandicci1.3

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 31.9% · O3.5 PROB 14.0%

Form & verdict PPG

CANNARA · PPG 1.00

SCANDICCI · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Cannara (H) 18.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 28.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Scandicci (A) 52.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cannara face Scandicci in Italy - Serie D - Girone E on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cannara a 19% chance, the draw 29% and Scandicci 52%, so Scandicci are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Cannara and 1.3 for Scandicci (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cannara are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.27 for Scandicci. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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