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Brommapojkarna W vs Djurgården W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 12:00

Brommapojkarna W

PPG 1.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Djurgården W

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.2% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-14.1%0-21.6%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.1%1-18.8%1-23.5%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.1%2-19.6%2-23.9%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.8%3-17.0%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-08.0%4+-16.4%4+-22.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.5% 44.4% 2.25 +36.1%

Draw 20.8% 31.3% 3.20 -20.1%

Away win 18.8% 37.0% 2.70 -29.5%

Over 2.5 61.2% 59.9% 1.67 +2.2%

Over 3.5 37.3% 38.2% 2.62 -2.3%

BTTS 52.6% 64.5% 1.55 -18.5%

Home O1.5 60.1% 50.0% 2.00 +20.2%

Away O1.5 20.3% 44.4% 2.25 -32.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 60% / xG 2.2-0.8 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.1%

#2 1–1 8.8%

#3 1–0 11.1%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 3–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brommapojkarna W2.2

Djurgården W0.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BROMMAPOJKARNA W · PPG 1.20

DJURGÅRDEN W · PPG 0.50

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.38 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Brommapojkarna W (H) 60.5%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +36.1%

Draw 20.8%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -20.1%

Djurgården W (A) 18.8%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -29.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brommapojkarna W face Djurgården W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brommapojkarna W a 61% chance, the draw 21% and Djurgården W 19%, so Brommapojkarna W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Brommapojkarna W and 0.8 for Djurgården W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brommapojkarna W are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.50 for Djurgården W. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +25.8%.

Brommapojkarna W vs Djurgården W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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