Today / South Korea - K League 2 / Cheongju vs Suwon Bluewings

Cheongju vs Suwon Bluewings Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 10:30

Cheongju

PPG 0.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

Suwon Bluewings

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-113.1%0-211.1%0-36.3%0-4+3.9%1 1-06.7%1-111.3%1-29.6%1-35.4%1-4+3.4%2 2-02.9%2-14.9%2-24.1%2-32.4%2-4+1.5%3 3-00.8%3-11.4%3-21.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.7% 18.2% 5.50 +14.9%

Draw 22.8% 26.3% 3.80 -8.0%

Away win 54.6% 64.5% 1.55 -15.4%

Over 2.5 53.4% 55.6% 1.80 -3.9%

Over 3.5 32.2% 33.3% 3.00 -3.4%

BTTS 52.6% 55.6% 1.80 -5.3%

Home O1.5 32.6% 25.6% 3.90 +27.1%

Away O1.5 48.0% 59.9% 1.67 -19.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 26%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -16.5%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob52.6%

A 55% / xG 0.9-1.7 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 0–1 13.1%

#3 0–2 11.1%

#4 1–2 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cheongju0.9

Suwon Bluewings1.7

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CHEONGJU · PPG 0.78

SUWON BLUEWINGS · PPG 2.00

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.84 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Cheongju (H) 22.7%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +14.9%

Draw 22.8%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -8.0%

Suwon Bluewings (A) 54.6%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -15.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cheongju face Suwon Bluewings in South Korea - K League 2 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cheongju a 23% chance, the draw 23% and Suwon Bluewings 55%, so Suwon Bluewings are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Cheongju and 1.7 for Suwon Bluewings (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cheongju are averaging 0.78 points per game versus 2.00 for Suwon Bluewings. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +27.1%.

Cheongju vs Suwon Bluewings Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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