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Cheonan City vs Yongin City Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 10:30

Cheonan City

PPG 1.22 · HOME

UPCOMING

Yongin City

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-110.4%0-25.5%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.5%1-113.1%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.9%2-18.3%2-24.3%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.3%3-13.5%3-21.8%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.4%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.4% 40.8% 2.45 +1.4%

Draw 28.7% 29.9% 3.35 -2.3%

Away win 29.9% 38.2% 2.62 -13.0%

Over 2.5 47.7% 55.6% 1.80 -14.1%

Over 3.5 28.9% 33.3% 3.00 -8.0%

BTTS 52.6% 61.7% 1.62 -14.8%

Home O1.5 35.1% 44.4% 2.25 -21.0%

Away O1.5 36.2% 42.6% 2.35 -14.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 26%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -16.5%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.6%

H 41% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 48% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.9%

#3 1–0 12.5%

#4 0–1 10.4%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cheonan City1.3

Yongin City1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CHEONAN CITY · PPG 1.22

YONGIN CITY · PPG 1.25

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.21, combined xG 2.31 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Cheonan City (H) 41.4%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +1.4%

Draw 28.7%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -2.3%

Yongin City (A) 29.9%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -13.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cheonan City face Yongin City in South Korea - K League 2 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cheonan City a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Yongin City 30%, so Cheonan City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Cheonan City and 1.0 for Yongin City (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cheonan City are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.25 for Yongin City.

Cheonan City vs Yongin City Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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