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Obermais vs Altavilla Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Group C - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Obermais

PPG 1.53 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Altavilla

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.0%0-115.6%0-25.8%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.2%1-112.8%1-24.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.0%2-15.2%2-21.9%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.9%3-11.4%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.2% — — —

Draw 35.8% — — —

Away win 30.0% — — —

Over 2.5 20.7% — — —

Over 3.5 7.4% — — —

BTTS 29.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 74%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob29.3%

D 36% / xG 0.8-0.7 / U2.5 21% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 21.0%

#2 1–0 17.2%

#3 0–1 15.6%

#4 1–1 12.8%

#5 2–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Obermais0.8

Altavilla0.7

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 20.7% · O3.5 PROB 7.4%

Form & verdict PPG

OBERMAIS · PPG 1.53

ALTAVILLA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Obermais (H) 34.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Altavilla (A) 30.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Obermais face Altavilla in Italy - Serie D - Girone C on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Obermais a 34% chance, the draw 36% and Altavilla 30%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for Obermais and 0.7 for Altavilla (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 21% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Obermais are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.00 for Altavilla. This match finished 0-0.

Obermais vs Altavilla Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Match Preview & Prediction

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