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Conegliano vs Luparense Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Italy - Serie D - Girone C logo Italy flag Italy - Serie D - Girone C Group C - 32 Stadio comunale Narciso Soldan· Conegliano Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00
Conegliano logo Conegliano PPG 1.93
1-1 HIT CS4
Luparense logo Luparense PPG 1.27
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Conegliano face Luparense in Italy - Serie D - Girone C on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Conegliano a 56% chance, the draw 28% and Luparense 16%, so Conegliano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Conegliano and 0.6 for Luparense (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Conegliano are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.27 for Luparense. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.2%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 28.0%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 15.8%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 30.9% Odds: —
Over 3.5 13.3% Odds: —
BTTS 32.8% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-0
4th 1-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Conegliano
1.37
Luparense
0.58

Model Suggestion

Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 78%
BTTS/No 52%
Score Hit 74%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.93) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)

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