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Bassano Virtus vs Cjarlins Muzane Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Group C - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Bassano Virtus

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Cjarlins Muzane

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.0%0-19.3%0-23.1%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.2%1-112.1%1-24.0%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.8%2-17.9%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.1%3-13.4%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-11.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.9% — — —

Draw 29.0% — — —

Away win 19.1% — — —

Over 2.5 31.5% — — —

Over 3.5 13.7% — — —

BTTS 35.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 74%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob35.4%

H 52% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 32% / NoBTTS 35%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 18.2%

#2 0–0 14.0%

#3 1–1 12.1%

#4 2–0 11.8%

#5 0–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bassano Virtus1.3

Cjarlins Muzane0.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 31.5% · O3.5 PROB 13.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BASSANO VIRTUS · PPG 1.67

CJARLINS MUZANE · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Bassano Virtus (H) 51.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cjarlins Muzane (A) 19.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bassano Virtus face Cjarlins Muzane in Italy - Serie D - Girone C on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bassano Virtus a 52% chance, the draw 29% and Cjarlins Muzane 19%, so Bassano Virtus are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bassano Virtus and 0.7 for Cjarlins Muzane (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bassano Virtus are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.27 for Cjarlins Muzane. This match finished 1-0.

Bassano Virtus vs Cjarlins Muzane Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Match Preview & Prediction

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